You Can’t Just Wing It

DCF 1.0

It wasn’t all that long ago that Trump was riding high.

He got the bump that he was looking for from his convention and many around the country were starting to talk about what a Trump presidency would look like.

But as quickly as he rose, he fell.

He couldn’t allow the spotlight to shine on anyone else.

Even after Clinton stumbled in an interview about her dealings with the FBI, Trump produced a virtual waterfall of “news” that turned the spotlight back on himself.  In more or less chronological order he:

  1. Attacked a Gold Star Muslim family who spoke out against his immigration policies.
  2. Said that the NFL sent him a letter complaining about the debate dates (NFL said it sent no such letter).
  3. Claimed that Russia would not invade Ukraine only to have to backtrack when informed that they already did in 2014
  4. Criticized a fire marshal in Columbus because the occupancy code was enforced.
  5. Praised Paul Ryan’s primary opponent.
  6. Told a woman with a crying baby to leave his rally.
  7. Accepted a Purple Heart from a vet with the statement, “I always wanted to get the Purple Heart, this was much easier.” Less than a day earlier, the NYT published a piece on his Viet Nam draft dodging.
  8. Refused to endorse Ryan, McCain, and Ayotte (he backtracked on this too later in the week)
  9. Claimed that the November elections would be rigged against him
  10. Claimed to have seen a top secret Iranian video of money being unloaded from a plane in Iran.  What he actually saw was publicly available video shot in Switzerland that had nothing to do with delivery of money to Iran. His campaign then corrected him. Then he repeated the lie again.

He has played right into Clinton’s hands with this strategy.  Her campaign has portrayed Trump as a dangerous choice and then patiently waited for Trump to prove it.  Just one indication of how big an issue this has become is when Charles Krauthammer, that champion hater of everything liberal, feels he has to comment on Trump’s fitness for the office.

As Trump’s poll numbers dropped, a parade of Republican incumbents have abandoned him.

Now 50 leading Republican security experts have released an open letter warning that a Trump presidency would put the nation’s security at risk. 

Mr. Trump “lacks the character, values and experience” to be president and “would put at risk our country’s national security and well-being.”

Mr. Trump, the officials warn, “would be the most reckless president in American history.”

Mr. Trump responded by laying the blame for the world “mess” at their feet.  He blamed them not only for the Iraq war, but also for the deaths in Benghazi and the rise of ISIS.  The latter two are curious since they occurred during the Obama administration when all of these officials were out of power.  But that’s about par for the course for the Trump campaign.

Here’s the basic problem.

The strategy that Trump used to monopolize the news cycle during the primaries is backfiring.  During the primaries the gaggle of other candidates were spending all of their time responding to Trump’s endless streams of insults and bravado.

In this general election cycle, the press is trying to inform the voters about who Trump is.  They hold him accountable for every gaffe.  They document the responses of experts when he says something dangerous.  But the sheer volume of this information simply reinforces Clinton’s claim that she is the more mature and experienced choice.  At this point, she doesn’t have to do a lot more other than to remind people that she isn’t Trump.

If Trump were able to stay on message for more than a day, he would have a real chance in this election because Clinton IS well known and has high negatives with many voters.

At this point, however, it may be too late.

His latest attempt to demonstrate some gravitas in a speech at the Detroit Economic Club drew mixed reviews.  His economic plan is a mishmash of old Republican ideas, old Democratic ideas, and new populist stuff.  There was a little something for everyone, which will likely confuse rather than satisfy undecided voters.  Just a couple of examples include making child care deductible.  Most working people don’t file the more complicated form required to claim this deduction.  Poor people don’t pay enough in taxes to take advantage of it.  As a result, it mostly benefits those that are well off.  That doesn’t square with his core demographic.  He also pledged to halt new regulations including those that would affect Wall Street.  This is seems to be at odds with his claim that he was going to crack down on Wall Street.

Trump is his own worst enemy because under the pressure of this campaign his true nature is on display for the whole country.  That nature is an unstable narcissist with an insatiable appetite for the spot light.  But like many who have also suffered from that obsession, the public is beginning to realize that he isn’t the winner that he claims to be.  He doesn’t really have wings, just wax and feathers.  Those are not enough to carry him to victory in the November.

 

 

 

27 Responses to “You Can’t Just Wing It”

  1. Keith says:

    I agree with your paragraphs under “here’s the basic problem.”
    He can’t fight with EVERYONE!!!!

    But here’s a bigger problem. The other candidate.

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/09/politics/hillary-clinton-emails-judicial-watch/index.html

    Normally we don’t have good choices. This time we have complete nonsense for choices. She may not make it to November. It’s interesting that republicans will turn on Trump but Dems won’t turn on Clinton. trumps is omission by his “just winging it” poorly chooses words. Hers is her corruption.

    Where the former republican security experts say a Trump Presidency “would” put the nations security at risk, we KNOW that Mrs Clinton already HAS put the nation at risk. One is hypothetical the other a known. Where are the 50 Dems releasing an open letter about her dangers as President?

  2. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Normally we don’t have good choices. This time we have complete nonsense for choices. She may not make it to November. It’s interesting that republicans will turn on Trump but Dems won’t turn on Clinton. trumps is omission by his “just winging it” poorly chooses words. Hers is her corruption.

    This is your confirmation bias showing.

    This IS NOT a case of poorly chosen words. This is a pattern of encouraging violence that has continued unabated since he started his campaign.

    The emails that we saw today DO NOT prove much of anything other than the fact that those with money get access to the workings of government that those without money don’t. This is the “soft corruption” that we all would like to get out of government – but it doesn’t even come close to Trump suggesting that Clinton plans to appoint Supreme Court justices who will repeal the Second Amendment and as a result should be shot. Clinton has not suggested she wants to repeal the Second Amendment. She is just talking about the same sorts of controls and background checks that many people have been discussing for years. You may think that this was a joke, but the Secret Service did not.

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/10/politics/trump-second-amendment/

    Where the former republican security experts say a Trump Presidency “would” put the nations security at risk, we KNOW that Mrs Clinton already HAS put the nation at risk.

    No she hasn’t put the nation at risk. This is a BAD case of confirmation bias. The risks that the security people are talking about are dismantling NATO, encouraging our pacific rim allies to develop their own nuclear weapons, and ignorance about Russian aggression in the Balkans. This is world destabilization stuff that Clinton’s emails – even if they were hacked – don’t even come close to.

    We aren’t going to agree on this from the perspective of Trump and Clinton.

    But here is the simple truth. Go look at Google News. The top line story is Trump and his “joke”. You have to go a couple of lines down to find the Clinton email story. 90% of voters have made up their mind. Clinton is winning the battle for the other 10% because Trump is frightening them DAILY. Clinton has an 86% chance of winning the election. If her poll lead gets over 10%, which it easily could if the drum beat continues to be that Trump is crazy, this election is over. Trump is the ONLY one who can change the current trajectory and the ONLY way he can do that is to prove that he ISN’T crazy. Basically he has to start acting like a “normal” candidate. He knows it. His campaign knows it. Every elected Republican in the country knows it. But he STILL can’t seem to bring himself to behave differently. That’s how big his EGO and his obsession is. He would rather lose this election than take a back seat to anyone. All Clinton had to do is expose that obsession and tie it to “crazy” – which she has done very effectively. That’s why all of the professional Republicans are heading for the exits. They don’t believe he can or will change and they know that it is only going to get worse. They don’t want to be covered in the spatter when he finally blows up.

  3. keith says:

    Google news?

  4. Jeff Beamsley says:

    news.google.com

    BTW, by now the Clinton email stuff has fallen off the list of stories most people are interested in. Trump, however, keeps on rolling up the headlines including Obama as the founder of ISIS. He criticized Clinton because the father of the Pulse shooter was in the stage audience for a Florida Clinton rally. At the moment he began that rant, you could see Mark Foley on the stage behind Trump. Mark Foley had to resign from congress for having sex with Page boys. The day closed out with a story that Trump’s campaign is getting sued by a previous employee because a NC Trump campaign worker (who is still employed by the campaign) pulled a gun on him.

    You just can’t make this stuff up.

  5. Keith says:

    http://observer.com/2016/08/tech-companies-apple-twitter-google-and-instagram-collude-to-defeat-trump/
    This is one mans view.

    Who was behind Hillary the other day on stage?

    Her emails will not drop off the radar.

  6. Jeff Beamsley says:

    http://observer.com/2016/08/tech-companies-apple-twitter-google-and-instagram-collude-to-defeat-trump/
    This is one mans view.

    Who was behind Hillary the other day on stage?

    Her emails will not drop off the radar.

    Actually it is one woman’s view, but that doesn’t matter.

    This is a conservative paper from New York who endorsed Trump. There aren’t many credible newspapers who have endorsed Trump. The article is basically the same old song. The “media” is biased against conservatives. Trump’s failures have NOTHING to do with lack of exposure. They have everything to do with him saying crazy things and the REPUTABLE media doing their job – holding him accountable. The conservative media guys are trying to give Trump a break, like the radio host that gave him multiple opportunities to walk back his comment about Obama being a founder of ISIS. Trump would have none of it.

    Trump is his own master and the coverage he is getting is exactly what his actions and statements deserve.

    As far as emails, they have already dropped off the radar as far as google searches are concerned. That’s as good of gauge as anything regarding what people are interested in.

    Beyond that, the public’s opinion of Clinton as a result of her issues with email are already baked into the polls.

    Trump, on the other hand, seems to be able to come up with new stuff almost every day to draw attention to himself and alienate more of the undecided voters.

    That’s the difference, and those who are paying attention to how the battle ground states are going, are pointing out the challenge that he has of winning in November. Trump currently has virtually no chance to win unless he can overcome leads in key states that EXCEED the number of undecided voters in those states.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/12/these-three-states-are-making-a-trump-win-basically-impossible/

  7. Keith says:

    Google news? You know the searches have been miniuates don’t you?

    Trumps immigration plan is fantastic. Vet them!!!

  8. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Only a problem in those states where there aren’t enough other insurance companies to provide the competition necessary to keep the prices honest.

    Single payor is part of the current Dem platform for those states where there isn’t sufficient competition.

    Others yet contend that politics are at play in the Aetna decision. Last week, on the heels of Aetna’s announced losses, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren suggested the company’s threats to reevaulate its involvement in public exchanges had to do with the Department of Justice’s efforts to challenge a merger between Aetna and Humana.

    http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/08/aetna-obamacare/496118/

  9. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Google news results ARE NOT moderated.

    The sites that ARE used to produce the Google News feed do have to go through a process that is run by humans. Here are the details.

    https://www.searchenginejournal.com/how-to-be-included-in-googles-news-feed/64363/

    Trumps immigration plan is fantastic. Vet them!!!

    What leads you to believe that current applicants for visa’s aren’t being thoroughly vetted?

    The United States has one of the strictest vetting processes for refugees of any country in the world, taking an average of 18 to 24 months.

    http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/08/15/donald-trumps-plan-to-defeat-terrorism-a-little-obama-a-lot-illegal-and-inaccurate/

  10. Jeff Beamsley says:

    BTW – new polls out today show Trump losing Virginia by 14 points and trailing in Florida by 9.

    http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/trump-poll-august-slide-227051

    With Virginia off the map for Trump, that makes states like Florida and PA even more critical. Lose Florida and it is all over. Clinton is also up 9 in PA too. Lose PA and it’s all over.

    The Clinton Super PAC has suspended spending in VA, CO, and PA because they think they have those states wrapped up.

    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/hillary-clinton-super-pac-suspends-spending-in-three-key-states/

    We are starting to see articles talking about landslides. I don’t think that will occur, but the fact that it is being even suggested is testimony to how big the hole is that Trump is in right now.

    It’s still another month until the first debates. It is possible that by the time that we get there, all Clinton is going to have to do is show up and prove that she is breathing.

    BTW, BTW, house Republicans are going to attempt to build the case for perjury, but they are going to need the Justice Department and FBI’s help in order to do that. I don’t think that they are going to get it because of the remarks that Comey already made. The FBI clearly does not want to be politicized. They would prefer that they American people choose the President. Refreshing difference from the SCOTUS.

    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/house-republicans-hillary-clinton-committed-perjury-in-emails-testimony/

  11. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Fair?

    http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2016/08/kristian-saucier-sentencing-clinton-227052

    This is a curious post. There really isn’t any comparison here, as the article points out. The only connection is your own bias. But then we knew that didn’t we. 🙂

    The more important event today is that Trump finally purchased some TV ads.

    http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/16/politics/donald-trump-advertising-buy/

    The real question some are starting to ask is whether or not Trump really wants to win.

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/donald-trump-lose_us_57b2033de4b007c36e4f91f2

  12. Jeff Beamsley says:

    BTW, BTW, BTW – Trump may not want to win, but he doesn’t like losing. So he did what many campaigns do when they are losing. He shook up his staff AGAIN. He demoted the guy that replaced his original campaign manager. His original campaign manager was the author of the “let Trump be Trump” strategy. He brought in the guy who is the head of Brietbart. The new guy’s strategy? Let Trump be Trump. So this really isn’t about winning at all. This is surrounding yourself with people who will tell you what you want to hear. At the end of the day we can all take this as a blessing. 🙂

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/08/17/trump-reshuffles-staff-in-his-own-image/

  13. Keith says:

    However I notice he read from a TelePrompTer in Wisconsin.

    http://www.infowars.com/dr-drew-gravely-concerned-about-hillary-clintons-health/

    Can stop with the bias thing. He’s not my candidate. It’s only me pointing out your bias… What concerns you about one doesn’t concern you about the other. Thus my constant calls to remover the word Christian from your title.

  14. Keith says:

    I’ve seen only one Hially commercial but have seen it several times. It’s says “how do we make the economy work?” Then show a pyramid and say by making those at the top pay their fair share. Then is says it pilunish company’s that move over sees. Then she will spend lots of money to create good paying jobs.

    Interesting.

    Tax the the. Nothing new there right? Ho much would she have those few folks pay?

    Spend on jobs? Obama spent a tons of money In His stimulas but the shovel ready wasn’t shovel ready. Didn’t nothing really as we’ve had the weakest growth since WW11 and the cheapest money. Shouldn’t you pay at least some attention to her?

  15. Jeff Beamsley says:

    http://www.infowars.com/dr-drew-gravely-concerned-about-hillary-clintons-health/

    Please don’t post any more stuff from Infowars. It’s embarrassing. As far as my calling out your bias, it is in response to posts like this. Don’t post this stuff and I won’t call you out as often.

    There is no truth to these claims that Clinton is ill. It’s conservative lies attempting to respond to the legit concerns that Trump is fit for the office.

    Despite the fact that Hillary Clinton got a clean bill of health from her doctor, fake medical records for Clinton are circulating on some conservative websites, purporting to show that she suffers from seizures and dementia.
    Clinton’s longtime physician — whose name appears atop the alleged “leaked” documents — released a statement to FactCheck.org calling the documents “false,” and reiterating her diagnosis that Clinton is “in excellent health and fit to serve as President of the United States.”

    http://www.factcheck.org/2016/08/fake-clinton-medical-records/

  16. Jeff Beamsley says:

    I’ve seen only one Hially commercial but have seen it several times. It’s says “how do we make the economy work?” Then show a pyramid and say by making those at the top pay their fair share. Then is says it pilunish company’s that move over sees. Then she will spend lots of money to create good paying jobs.

    Everything is relative.

    A little more than a month after Moody’s said Trump’s proposals would cause a “lengthy recession,” the firm took a look under the hood at the Democratic nominee’s plans and said the prospects were more encouraging.

    “Secretary Clinton’s economic proposals will result in a somewhat stronger U.S. economy,” Mark Zandi, Moody’s chief economist, and two others wrote in the report. “Near-term growth is supported by the stimulus provided by her spending plans in combination with much stronger foreign immigration.”

    “Evident from her proposals is the belief that the country needs to invest more in education, infrastructure and workers, and that the well-to-do, and to a lesser degree financial institutions and businesses, should pay for it,” Moody’s wrote. “While her budget arithmetic does not completely add up, it is pretty close, and the nation’s debt load under her plan is no different than under current law.”

    http://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/01/moodys-hillary-clinton-will-make-economy-stronger-vs-donald-trump-recession.html

  17. Keith says:

    Are you suggesting Dr Drew is wrong? Again because it info wars you dismiss the subject. Dr Drew did say that.

    As to the commercial Hillary is running. For get her plan. Not what I’m discussing. It’s the commercial. Tax the richest, make them pay their fair share, punish companies the go off shore, spend lots of money creating new jobs. That’s the commercial in her words.

    President Obama raised taxes on the richest, he spend money via stimulus, had the cheapest money known to man for 7 1/2 years and produced the worse recovery is decades. Hillary is proposing differently?

    Just once, ONCE, write the article in Hillary of how correct she is, her constant lying, her association with the KKK by was if Senetor Bryd and Mr Fullbright. Her changing positions and finger in the air which personality should I project. Just once be fair an balanced and put you wonderful skills of nuanced detail and commentary to work and I’ll leave you alone. Do with President Obama. I don’t care which, just do it once my good friend!!!!

  18. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Are you suggesting Dr Drew is wrong? Again because it info wars you dismiss the subject. Dr Drew did say that.

    Yes. I’m saying the Dr. Drew is a person who makes more money from his TV show than he does from his medical practice. As a result, I distrust his motives for attempting diagnose the physical condition of someone without examining them. When Newt Gingrich suggests that this is a shady tactic, you have to take notice.

    Well, first of all, just to get down to a human level for a second, all of us ought to include Hillary Clinton in our prayers. You can be opposed to somebody without hoping that they have bad health, and I hope that she’s all right. Second, I’m always dubious, with all due respect to television doctors, when you have a doctor who has never seen the patient, begin to give you a complicated, fancy sounding analysis based on what? I mean, I would be very cautious and I would recommend to doctors for professional reasons to be very cautious deciding you’re gonna start analyzing people.

    http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/gingrich-defends-clinton-health-junk-medicine

    Just once, ONCE, write the article in Hillary of how correct she is, her constant lying,

    I’ve already posted evidence to document that Trump lies at a MUCH higher rate than Clinton.

    Your characterization of Clinton as untrustworthy is a function of your politics and not a fact. The fact is that she is one of the most investigated politicians in our history and has not been convicted of ANYTHING.

    As far as lying is concerned, the greatest Presidents in our history have lied. Lincoln lied about not negotiating with the South to end the war. He also lied about his position on slavery. FDR during his campaign for his third term told voters that he would never send their husbands, brothers, or sons into war.

    http://www.cnn.com/2013/11/24/politics/presidents-lie/

    her association with the KKK by was if Senetor Bryd and Mr Fullbright.

    Trump is the KKK candidate in this race, not Clinton. Clinton has never been supported by the KKK, nor has she ever given them any support. The Democratic Party through Johnson DID depend on Dixiecrats who were the architects of the Jim Crow south. That changed rapidly in 60’s with Johnson’s Civil Rights legislation. Nixon’s southern strategy welcomed those voters to the Republican Party with open arms and dog whistle promises. Those southern racists are the core of Trump’s support today with a healthy dose of antisemitism thrown in via his new campaign manager Bannon.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/08/18/the-breitbart-alt-right-just-took-over-the-gop/?utm_term=.8ec809254f08

    Her changing positions and finger in the air which personality should I project.

    This is an odd criticism because it says that Clinton is responsive to the will of the people. It is particularly odd because you also criticize her for lying. The problem is that you can’t have both. FDR, for example, is regarded as a great leader because he took a nation completely opposed to getting involved in WWII and lied to them multiple times in order to prepare them for the conflict that he knew was coming. If FDR had told the country what he was planning to do, they would have elected Wilkie instead.

    I have held Clinton accountable for her private email server. But I don’t think particular poor judgement even comes close to Trump’s attack on pluralism, the free press, and a free judiciary. There really isn’t any comparison.

    I believe that history is going to regard Obama as a great president. He could have been one of the greatest presidents, but he declined to attack his opponents in the same way that they attacked him. But his redemption is that his opponents are now in disarray. The Republican Party is fracturing, and it is likely that the Democrats will be in power for at least another 8 years, if not more. During that period of time, much of what he originally wanted to do to improve the economy, create jobs, and reform immigration laws will get passed. So perhaps his strategy of playing the long game may ultimately prove to be more shrewd that it appeared at first. BTW, his lie regarding Obamacare may ultimately be regarded with the same reverence as FDR’s lies prior to WWII.

  19. Keith says:

    https://www.facebook.com/ForAmerica/videos/1266643450060677/

    Is this fair criticism?

    Is it hypocritical?

  20. Jeff Beamsley says:

    Please don’t post any more material from facebook and ask me to comment. Facebook is a cesspool of bigots, conspiracy theory, and trolls. Very little valuable conversation goes on there. NPR recently eliminated the ability to comment from their website. That’s because they found that very few of their visitors commented, and most of the comments were posted by even a smaller number of people. In other words, the same partisans showed up every day to argue with each other. Facebook is not solving problems or advancing understanding. They ARE part of the problem. They make their money from providing a forum for flame throwers and trolls to convince each other that they have the answer. They don’t.

    BTW – The reason Obama and Clinton did not go to Louisiana was because the security that their visit would require would take first responders away from the task of rescuing people. The governor said that Feds were providing everything that has asked for. Trump went WITHOUT invitation for a photo op. The governor said if Trump was going to come, he should also make a donation to recovery effort. Trump did come for a photo op. He did not make any donation. That’s the sort of information that you get from credible sources.

    Edwards, who was elected last year, pointed out the effort it would take to accommodate an appearance by Obama. He described what unfolded when Vice President Biden came to Baton Rouge last month to attend a vigil for the slain police officers, a trip that shut down interstates and required a heavy contingent of police officers to offer security.

    “Quite frankly, that is something I don’t want to go through right now,” Edwards said during a news conference Thursday. “While the president is welcome to visit, I’d rather he give us another week or two.”

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/08/19/trump-drawing-contrast-to-obama-visits-flood-ravaged-baton-rouge/

  21. Keith says:

    The video happened to be on Facebook. Spare me your bubble comments which you violate yourself. The content sir is Senator Obama bashed Bush for not going to New Orleans but only on a fly over. Now he doesn’t go. It doesn’t matter who said to go and who didn’t Jeff. Bush was called a racist and not caring about blacks. President Obama doesnt go and nothing is said. Trump goes and he’s an opportunitist.

  22. Jeff Beamsley says:

    I don’t post anything from facebook. It is an unreliable source for news and videos because both can be easily altered.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XpVJ4AuXDK0

    With regard to Bush, the issue wasn’t only that he declined to cut his vacation short, but that the federal response was inadequate. 1,000 people died. Damage was estimated at over $100B. Destruction was spread over 400 sq miles.

    http://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2015/08/28/hurricane-katrina-was-the-beginning-of-the-end-for-george-w-bush

    The reason the federal response was terrible was because Bush had overseen the decimation of FEMA. Then he had the gall to congratulate his buddy Mike Brown that he had charged with dismantling FEMA by saying that he was doing a good job responding to Katrina.

    “During the 1990s, FEMA was routinely praised as one of the best-functioning federal agencies. Its response to the Midwestern floods of 1993, the Northridge earthquake of 1994, and 1995’s Oklahoma City terrorist attack are considered models of emergency response. By contrast, its performance during Katrina is almost universally acknowledged to have been abysmally poor. At first, FEMA’s post-Katrina failure appears baffling: What happened to the once-great FEMA? But George Haddow, who served as the deputy chief of staff at FEMA under James Lee Witt, Bill Clinton’s FEMA director, thinks that FEMA’s current flaws are all too understandable — and are a direct consequence of the Bush administration’s decision to pull the federal government out of the natural disaster-relief business and turn over more power to state and local officials.”

    http://www.salon.com/2005/09/07/fema_3/

    By comparison, the FEDs were on the job in LA. The death toll so far is 13. Hardly the same scale. Definitely not the same failed response. The only thing that is the same is the continued attempts by conservative Republicans to undermine a (now) popular president.

Leave a Reply